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Proceedings Paper

Quality, Quantity, And Surprise! Trade-Offs In X-Raser ASAT Attrition
Author(s): Michael B. Callaham; Frank M. Scibilia
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Paper Abstract

In order to characterize the effects of technological superiority, numerical superiority, and pre-emption on space battle outcomes, we have constructed a battle simulation in which "Red" and "Blue" ASATs, each armed with a specified number of x-ray lasers of specified range, move along specified orbits and fire on one another according to a pair of battle management algorithms. The simulated battle proceeds until apparent steady-state force levels are reached. Battle outcomes are characterized by terminal force ratio and by terminal force-exchange ratio as effective weapon range, multiplicity (x-rasers per ASAT), and pre-emptive role are varied parametrically. A major conclusion is that pre-emptive advantage increases with increasing x-raser range and multiplicity (x-rasers per ASAT) and with increasing force size. That is, the "use 'em or lose 'em" dilemma will become more stark as such weapons are refined and proliferated.

Paper Details

Date Published: 28 August 1984
PDF: 8 pages
Proc. SPIE 0474, Electro-Culture 1984, (28 August 1984); doi: 10.1117/12.942482
Show Author Affiliations
Michael B. Callaham, Carnegie-Mellon University (United States)
Frank M. Scibilia, Carnegie-Mellon University (United States)

Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 0474:
Electro-Culture 1984
Jeff Bogumil, Editor(s)

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