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Proceedings Paper

The end of the semiconductor industry as we know it
Author(s): Chris A. Mack
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Paper Abstract

The goal of this paper is to discuss the technical and economic drivers of Moore’s Law, with special emphasis on their interdependence. These drivers can be classified as “push” (technology improvements push us down the Moore’s Law path) and “pull” (economic incentives create increasing chip production volumes which drive the technology learning curve). In fact, Moore’s Law can be considered as an instance of general learning curve theory, which places a special importance on the role of increasing chip volumes on the slope of Moore’s Law. After a general review of the history of Moore’s Law, its relevance today is described in terms of transistor shrinks rather than increasing functions per chip. The challenges required for the continuation of Moore’s Law are presented.

Paper Details

Date Published: 16 June 2003
PDF: 11 pages
Proc. SPIE 5037, Emerging Lithographic Technologies VII, (16 June 2003);
Show Author Affiliations
Chris A. Mack, KLA-Tencor Corp. (United States)

Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 5037:
Emerging Lithographic Technologies VII
Roxann L. Engelstad, Editor(s)

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