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Climatic changes on the Southern Urals
Author(s): Denis Yu. Vasil'ev; Vladimir A. Semenov; Vladimir V. Vodopyanov
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Paper Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of the average monthly temperature data of the surface layer of air according to figures from 10 weather stations located in the territory of the Southern Urals. In order to study the space-time structure of surface temperature, we converted the temperature series into empirical orthogonal components (EOS) via the expansion method. Identified EOS of winter and summer seasons were correlated with the main climatic indices of the Northern hemisphere. Using a General Circulation Model of the atmosphere (GCM) ECHAM5, an attempt was made to estimate the direct greenhouse effect, and established that with the changing scenario, concentrations of CO2 and CH4 better describe the real condition of the atmosphere’s surface layer temperature, compared to scenarios in which greenhouse gas concentrations remain constant at the level of the 1980s.

Paper Details

Date Published: 18 December 2019
PDF: 4 pages
Proc. SPIE 11208, 25th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics, 112086R (18 December 2019); doi: 10.1117/12.2539064
Show Author Affiliations
Denis Yu. Vasil'ev, Ufa State Aviation Technical Univ. (Russian Federation)
A. M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (Russian Federation)
Vladimir A. Semenov, A. M. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics (Russian Federation)
Institute of Geography (Russian Federation)
Vladimir V. Vodopyanov, Ufa State Aviation Technical Univ. (Russian Federation)


Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 11208:
25th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics
Oleg A. Romanovskii; Gennadii G. Matvienko, Editor(s)

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