Share Email Print

Proceedings Paper

Forecasting precipitation and temperatures at the island of Cyprus to enhance wetland management
Author(s): Georgios Spanou; Konstantinos K. Ioannou; Valasia Iakovoglou; George N. Zaimes
Format Member Price Non-Member Price
PDF $17.00 $21.00

Paper Abstract

Droughts on the island of Cyprus are more frequently occurring during the last decades. This has and will have major impacts on natural resources, particularly on semi-aquatic and aquatic ecosystems. Wetlands are very important aquatic ecosystems with many functions and values, especially in semi-arid regions. The study area is the Wetland of the Larnanca Salt Lake that belongs to the Natura 2000 Network and the Ramsar Convention. It hosts thousands of migratory birds every year. Forecasting accurately the future climatic conditions of an area can greatly enhance the ability to provide the best possible managerial practices regarding a natural resource (e.g. wetland). These climate forecasts can provide significant information on future conditions of the Wetland of Larnaca Salt Lake, particularly when forecasting when and how long the drying conditions could last. In this study, an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) was used as a tool for short term prediction of the precipitation in the study area. The methodology used two time series (temperature and precipitation) in order to train the ANN. Temperatures were used as the input variable to the ANN while precipitation was used as the output variables. The forecast was based on data from the period between 1993 and 2013. In order to estimate the accuracy of the produced results the correlation coefficient, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) was correlated. Overall, this tool can help the responsible authorities of the wetland to manage it more efficiently.

Paper Details

Date Published: 12 August 2014
PDF: 8 pages
Proc. SPIE 9229, Second International Conference on Remote Sensing and Geoinformation of the Environment (RSCy2014), 92291N (12 August 2014); doi: 10.1117/12.2066296
Show Author Affiliations
Georgios Spanou, Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (Greece)
Konstantinos K. Ioannou, Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (Greece)
Valasia Iakovoglou, DEMETER-FRI (Greece)
George N. Zaimes, Eastern Macedonia and Thrace Institute of Technology (Greece)

Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 9229:
Second International Conference on Remote Sensing and Geoinformation of the Environment (RSCy2014)
Diofantos G. Hadjimitsis; Kyriacos Themistocleous; Silas Michaelides; Giorgos Papadavid, Editor(s)

© SPIE. Terms of Use
Back to Top
Sign in to read the full article
Create a free SPIE account to get access to
premium articles and original research
Forgot your username?