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Proceedings Paper

Enhancing emotional-based target prediction
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Paper Abstract

This work extends existing agent-based target movement prediction to include key ideas of behavioral inertia, steady states, and catastrophic change from existing psychological, sociological, and mathematical work. Existing target prediction work inherently assumes a single steady state for target behavior, and attempts to classify behavior based on a single emotional state set. The enhanced, emotional-based target prediction maintains up to three distinct steady states, or typical behaviors, based on a target's operating conditions and observed behaviors. Each steady state has an associated behavioral inertia, similar to the standard deviation of behaviors within that state. The enhanced prediction framework also allows steady state transitions through catastrophic change and individual steady states could be used in an offline analysis with additional modeling efforts to better predict anticipated target reactions.

Paper Details

Date Published: 11 April 2008
PDF: 11 pages
Proc. SPIE 6965, Modeling and Simulation for Military Operations III, 696505 (11 April 2008); doi: 10.1117/12.777465
Show Author Affiliations
Michael Gosnell, 21st Century Systems, Inc. (United States)
Robert Woodley, 21st Century Systems, Inc. (United States)

Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 6965:
Modeling and Simulation for Military Operations III
Dawn A. Trevisani, Editor(s)

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