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Proceedings Paper

Synthetic cognitive modeling of adversaries for effects-based planning
Author(s): Paul K. Davis
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Paper Abstract

Models of adversaries' reasoning can be constructed to inform development of adaptive strategies, including strategies that include effects-based operations. Such models can apply to individual leaders or to groups that one seeks to influence. This paper describes an approach to building such models. The results are top-down, highly structured, driven by theory, designed with multiresolution methods that permit zooming in on issues, and suitable for use in high-level decision meetings. The models have been qualitative and non-automated, but the methodology could usefully be incorporated into a more general computer-supported decision-support environment, where it would supplement other tools for decision support.

Paper Details

Date Published: 15 July 2002
PDF: 15 pages
Proc. SPIE 4716, Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VI, (15 July 2002); doi: 10.1117/12.474918
Show Author Affiliations
Paul K. Davis, RAND Corp. (United States)

Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 4716:
Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VI
Alex F. Sisti; Dawn A. Trevisani, Editor(s)

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