Share Email Print
cover

Proceedings Paper

Forecast of icing zones using possibilities of hydrodynamic simulation for the atmospheric boundary layer
Author(s): Marina A. Volkova; Alexander V. Starchenko; Irina V. Kuzhevskaya; Andrey A. Bart; Lubov I. Kizhner; Nadezhda K. Barashkova
Format Member Price Non-Member Price
PDF $14.40 $18.00

Paper Abstract

This paper presents the results of the analysis and forecast of meteorological conditions that promote icing of aircrafts in the atmospheric boundary layer. The forecasting results were obtained using the mesoscale meteorological model TSU-NM3. The Godske method, the NCEP method, and the statistical method of the Hydro-meteorological Centre of Russia were used as the criteria of aircraft icing probability during take-off or landing. The numeric forecast results were compared with pilot reports. The forecast accuracy rates, the probability of false detection, and the Peirce's skill score confirm the prospects of the proposed approach for the sphere of forecasting aircraft icing zones. On the basis of this technology, a regional method for forecasting aircraft icing can be developed.

Paper Details

Date Published: 29 November 2016
PDF: 7 pages
Proc. SPIE 10035, 22nd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics, 1003567 (29 November 2016); doi: 10.1117/12.2249019
Show Author Affiliations
Marina A. Volkova, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)
Alexander V. Starchenko, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)
Institute of Monitoring of Climatic and Ecological Systems SB RAS (Russian Federation)
Irina V. Kuzhevskaya, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)
Andrey A. Bart, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)
Lubov I. Kizhner, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)
Nadezhda K. Barashkova, National Research Tomsk State Univ. (Russian Federation)


Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 10035:
22nd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics
Gennadii G. Matvienko; Oleg A. Romanovskii, Editor(s)

© SPIE. Terms of Use
Back to Top