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Proceedings Paper

A real-time prediction system for solar weather based on magnetic nonpotentiality (I)
Author(s): Xiao Yang; GangHua Lin; YuanYong Deng
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Paper Abstract

The Sun is the source of space weather. The characteristics and evolution of the solar active-region magnetic field closely relate to violent solar eruptions such as flares and coronal mass ejections. The Solar Magnetic Field Telescope in Huairou Solar Observing Station has accumulated numerous vector magnetogram data of solar photospheric active regions (AR) covering nearly 30 years. Utilizing these precious historical data to establish statistical prediction models for solar eruptive events, not only can provide a reference for the timely adjustment of observation mode to specific active regions, but also can offer valuable reference to the monitoring and forecasting departments of solar and space weather. In this part of work, we focus on the Yes/No and occurrence time predictions for AR-related solar flares, and the predictions independently rely on the vector magnetic-filed observation of the solar surface.

Paper Details

Date Published: 26 July 2016
PDF: 6 pages
Proc. SPIE 9913, Software and Cyberinfrastructure for Astronomy IV, 99133Z (26 July 2016); doi: 10.1117/12.2232257
Show Author Affiliations
Xiao Yang, National Astronomical Observatories (China)
GangHua Lin, National Astronomical Observatories (China)
YuanYong Deng, National Astronomical Observatories (China)


Published in SPIE Proceedings Vol. 9913:
Software and Cyberinfrastructure for Astronomy IV
Gianluca Chiozzi; Juan C. Guzman, Editor(s)

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